Saturday, May 05, 2007

GOLD, EURUSD and DJIA



As anticipated, GOLD managed to fully retrace to its February highs and even marginally exceeded them before correcting towards the 50-day moving average and the previous resistance (turned support) around the last Fibonacci retracement level (61.8%) of the March corrective trip. The Bulls are back in charge after a Doji signaled the resumption of the uptrend.


As noted in a previous post, the COT numbers stopped at the previous resistance turned support (around -130K) and rallied towards -180K accompanied by higher open interest supporting the bulls.



The EURUSD did break out on the monthly charts and marginally exceeded the December 2004 highs which seem to pose strong resistance. Furthermore, we have a 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the last autumn correction around the mentioned highs, strenghening the resistance beyond which 1.38 - 1.40 are the next targets.



The DJIA managed to breake the 13000 and the previous uptrend support turned resistance, heading towards the 161.8% Fibonacci expension of the March correction where it might stop given the high overbought readings of many technical indicators. Apart from this, "Sell in May and go away!" saying might reflect again the investors behaviour.

No comments: